Why I read history books

Marton Trencseni - Mon 09 December 2024 • Tagged with hungary, politics, history

Hungary’s rushed entry into World War II and its botched attempt to break away from it show how stale leadership trapped in its own fantasy bubble can steer a nation toward disaster. By “political backtesting” these moments — comparing their underlying factors to the present — today’s citizens can weigh future outcomes, draw practical lessons, we can make more informed decisions about where and how to live.

Kiugras Beugras

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Why I don't live in Hungary

Marton Trencseni - Wed 07 August 2024 • Tagged with hungary, politics, orban, dubai

In February 2016, I made a life-changing decision to leave Hungary and seek opportunities abroad, starting in London and later moving to Dubai. This essay explores the multitude of reasons behind my choice and why I have no immediate plans to return to Hungary.

Orban no migration

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Predicting party affiliation of US politicians using fasttext

Marton Trencseni - Sun 20 June 2021 • Tagged with statistics, trump, politics, fasttext, twitter

I train a fasttext classifier on 1.2M data points to predict US politicians' party affiliations from their twitter messages.

Trump Schiff

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Making statistics lie for the 2020 Presidential election

Marton Trencseni - Thu 17 December 2020 • Tagged with ab-testing, trump, politics

After the 2020 US presidential election, the Trump campaign filed over 50 lawsuits and attacked the integrity of the elections by claiming there was voter fraud. One of the last lawsuits was filed in the Supreme Court of the United States by the state of Texas. Here I look at the statistical claims made in this lawsuit that were supposed to show irregularities in the Georgia vote.

Trump vs Biden

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